Keywords
Producción
natalidad
mortalidad
cointegración
causalidad
mínimos cuadrados ordinarios dinámicos (DOLS)
modelos dinámicos para paneles
entidades federativas mexicanas. Production
fertility
mortality
cointegration
causality
dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS)
dynamic models for panel data
mexican states.
natalidad
mortalidad
cointegración
causalidad
mínimos cuadrados ordinarios dinámicos (DOLS)
modelos dinámicos para paneles
entidades federativas mexicanas. Production
fertility
mortality
cointegration
causality
dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS)
dynamic models for panel data
mexican states.
How to Cite
Lorenzo Valdés, A., & Ruíz Porras, A. (2017). States production, fertility, and mortality rates in mexico: an analysis of their long-term relationships and dynamics. Acta Universitaria, 27, 17–32. https://doi.org/10.15174/au.2017.1498
Abstract
We use annual panel data for the 32 Mexican states, during the 1993-2010 period, to study the long-term relationships and dynamics of production, fertility, and mortality in Mexico. The study uses cointegration and Granger-causality tests for panel data, Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimations, and dynamic panel data models. The main findings are: 1) the indicators cointegrate; 2) the estimated long-run relationship shows negative correlations between production and fertility and between production and mortality; 3) there is causality from mortality to production; 4) there is bidirectional causality between fertility and production; and 5) mortality effects on production are bigger than fertility effects on production.