Vol. 34 (2024)
Artículos de Investigación

Analysis of the evolution of the covid-19 pandemic in the state of Guanajuato and Mexico: an ecological study of time series

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  • Nicolas Padilla Padilla Raygoza,
  • Gilberto Flores-Vargas,
  • María de Jesús Gallardo-Luna,
  • Efraín Navarro-Olivos,
  • Guadalupe Irazú Morales-Reyes,
  • Jéssica Paola Plascencia-Roldán,
  • Francisco Javier Magos-Vázquez
Nicolas Padilla Padilla Raygoza
Secretaria de Salud Guanajuato
Gilberto Flores-Vargas
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State
Bio
María de Jesús Gallardo-Luna
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State
Bio
Efraín Navarro-Olivos
Directorate of Health Services, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State
Bio
Guadalupe Irazú Morales-Reyes
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State
Bio
Jéssica Paola Plascencia-Roldán
Departamento de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico, Departamento de Enseñanza e Investigación, Instituto de Salud Pública del Estado de Guanajuato
Bio
Francisco Javier Magos-Vázquez
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State
Bio
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15174/au.2024.3874

Published 2024-02-21

How to Cite

Padilla Raygoza, N., Flores-Vargas, G., Gallardo-Luna, M. de J., Navarro-Olivos, E., Morales-Reyes, G. I., Plascencia-Roldán, J. P., & Magos-Vázquez, F. J. (2024). Analysis of the evolution of the covid-19 pandemic in the state of Guanajuato and Mexico: an ecological study of time series. Acta Universitaria, 34, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.15174/au.2024.3874

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 emergency and the covid-19 pandemic are a global public health phenomenon. The objective of this study was to analyze the time trends of covid-19 pandemic in Guanajuato and México. For the analysis, the public database of the National Epidemiological Surveillance System was used to show the indicators of covid-19 (monthly) corresponding to the Institute of Public Health of the State of Guanajuato and the rest of Mexico. Online graphs were designed with the counts; for comparisons, the rate ratio in semi-annual periods was chosen. Guanajuato showed a better performance at the beginning of the pandemic, but in January 2021 this trend seems to reverse. In later months the curves tend to be more similar between Guanajuato and the rest of Mexico. The explanations for this phenomenon may be the coordination of local actions, the biology of the pandemic itself, or vaccination plans.

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